In Section V of my TMI essay, To the People of the Area, &c., the following statement is given:

"I have also analyzed the semi-official cancer mortality statistics of the atomic bomb survivors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, who suffered varying degrees of nuclear radiation exposure from the bombs, and found by mathematical calculations that the cancer effect of nuclear radiation as indicated by these statistics is far greater than that officially assessed. [See note no. 24 in the appendix.] I am preparing a treatise on the health hazard of nuclear radiation which will contain my full scientific analysis of the health hazard of nuclear radiation, including my statistical analyses, and my physics analysis of the damaging action of radiation on the living cells of human body tissue."

The note No. 24 is as follows:

"(Note No. 24) I find that the official statistical analyses on "radiation effects" are mathematically unsound. The reports and articles which present these analyses do not derive and prove the mathematical theory used for making the analysis calculations, nor is the theory described enough to be able to figure out just what the mathematical theory ("models") are that have been used, nor is the data used in the analysis verifiable, and in most cases, the data which was used to make a statistical analysis are not even made available."

I have since improved on the mathematical calculations for my statistical analysis, and do not now calculate for certain that the cancer risk coefficient is "far greater" than what has been official evaluated, but that a value far greater cannot be excluded that there are positive indications that it is far greater. However, I also find that the statistics are not reliable; and so any mathematical analysis is not wholly meaningful. This will be elaborated upon in a scientific article which I am preparing for publications. Also, the official view, at least as of about 1990, was that there is no evidence of any cancer death effects of the radiation exposure among the atomic bomb survivors at doses less than 50 rads. I found the contrary. I refer to my 1991 treatise A Mathematical Analysis of the Cancer Mortality Statistics of the Japanese Atomic Bomb Survivors and Workers at the Hanford Nuclear Installation - An Evaluation of the Probability of Cancer Death by Exposure to Nuclear Radiation at Low Dose. My final calculations as of March 2000 show positive risk coefficient for doses less than 20 rads even.

Richard E. Webb, Ph.D.

Present Address (as of April 2000):

Raiffeisenstrasse 1
86868 Mittelneufnach
Bavaria, Germany

 Telephone:  (49) 8262 - 960 857

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